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Cover of report "Carbon leakage in AI-driven data center growth?"
Climate | Energy, Sustainability | Strategies | International matters, Digitalisation

Carbon leakage in AI-driven data center growth?

An assessment of drivers and barriers to the localization of data center operations and investments with respect to carbon pricing policies


This study offers a comprehensive first assessment of the global carbon leakage potential associated with AI-driven data center operation and investment. The focus is on carbon leakage from costs imposed by emission trading systems (ETS) on data center electricity consumption. The study estimates AI’s current and near-future electricity consumption and evaluates the technological feasibility as well as plausibility of shifting compute loads. Additionally, it maps global compute capacity against carbon intensities and the presence of ETS.


Series Texte | 68/2025 Number of pages 64 Year of publication Author(s) Nicolas Schmid, Vlad C. Coroamă, Oana Dumbravă, Martin Eichler, Moritz Reisser, Lynn H. Kaack, Janna Axenbeck, Jürg Füssler Language English Publisher German Environment Agency Links Additional information PDF is accessible File size 4.45 MB Print version not available

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Short link: www.umweltbundesamt.de/n117276en