ZURES – Vulnerability and Risk Analysis as an instrument for the advancement of Resilience of Cities and urban Infrastructure
Background and Goals
The common usage of climate change scenarios are part of the risk evaluation and adaptation strategies for climate change. However, changes in social vulnerability such as actors and their networks have not been considered in risk- and vulnerability analysis.
The project ZURES therefore aims to consider social vulnerability facing climate changes with actors and institutions and therefore to tackle socio-economic changing on city level processed.
ZURES develops new methods and instruments in order to address future orientated vulnerability and risk changes.
Focus lies on heat stress. Transformation managements are to be further developed in testing and planning procedures as well as formal and informal planning tools for adaptation in planning and control processes. Included are Environmental impact assessments and urban land use planning procedures.
Thus, ZURES strengthens sustainability and resiliency.
Content time
Research area/region
Country
- Germany
Spatial resolution
The City of Bonn and Ludwigsburg are used as examples in this project.
Steps in the process of adaptation to climate change
Step 1: Understand and describe climate change
Approach and results
Using the example of the topic "Heat in the city", the driving forces of small-scale transformation processes are captured for the cities of Bonn and Ludwigsburg. Analysis of the current status and changes in the urban climate are developed using scenarios for the overall urban level (macro level) and for selected focus areas (neighborhoods and project areas / micro level) and are linked to socio-economic and demographic vulnerability scenarios.
Parameter (climate signals)
- Heat waves
Step 2a: Identify and assess risks - climate effects and impact
Approach and results
ZURES is based on the further development of vulnerability and risk estimation by including stakeholders in normative-methodical decisions and in the context of various socio-economic and spatial future scenarios considering current transformation processes using the example of heat stress in cities and the further development (in consideration of the day and night situation) and the conjunction of urban climate analyses with socio-demographic and economic analyses towards vulnerability on the level of districts, as well as their transferability to other cities and hazards (especially heat stress).
Step 2b: Identify and assess risks - Vulnerability, risks and chances
Approach and results
Socio-economic and demographic vulnerability scenarios are considered as a function of urban climate change. ZURES is based on the operationalization of the concepts regarding vulnerability and resilience.
Step 4: Plan and implement measures
Measures and/or strategies
In this project, methods and instruments of a future-oriented vulnerability and risk assessment of urban areas are developed against extreme events, in this case heat stress. These are based on existing testing and planning procedures as well as planning tools.
In addition, ZUREs is based on linking and implementing the new methods in existing formal and informal testing and planning procedures at the local level, in particular in the context of the EIA Directive 2014/52 / EU and the objective of adaptation of the Building Code in the context of Update and reorganization of land use and development plans (eg by means of new planning guide maps).
Participants
Funding / Financing
The project "Vulnerability and Risk Analysis as an instrument for the advancement of Resilience of Cities and urban Infrastructure" (acronym: ZURES) is funded by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research within the framework of social-ecological research.
Project management
Institute of Spatial and Regional Planning (IREUS, University of Stuttgart)
Cooperation/Partners
- Institut für Raumplanung der TU Dortmund (IRPUD)
- agl Hartz • Saad • Wendl – Landschafts-, Stadt- und Raumplanung, Saarbrücken
- GEO-NET Umweltconsulting GmbH, Hannover
- UN University, Institute for Environment and Human Security, Bonn (UNU-EHS)
- Bundesstadt Bonn, Amt für Umwelt, Verbraucherschutz und Lokale Agenda
- Stadt Ludwigsburg, Referat Nachhaltige Stadtentwicklung
