WEATHER project - Impacts On Transport and European Regions
Ziel der Studie
Analysing the economic costs of more frequent and more extreme weather events on transport and on the wider economy and explores the benefits and costs of suitable adaptation and emergency management strategies for reducing them in the context of sustainable policy design
Erscheinungsjahr
Untersuchungsregion/-raum
Untersuchungsraum Europe incl. Germany
Räumliche Auflösung
Focus on transport modes rather than spatial units (exception Critical assessment of the road networks of Greece, Germany and Netherlands)
Verwendete Klimamodelle / Ensembles
Emissionsszenarien A1B and A2
Klimamodelle not specified
Ensembles yes
Anzahl der Modellläufe not specified
Regionales Klimamodell
IPCC AR4, ENSAMBLES, PRUDENCE, ESPON 1.3.1
Weitere Parameter
Heavy precipitation, floods and mass movements, storms, storm surges and combined events, extreme winter conditions including frost, ice and snow, heat periods, droughts and wildfires
Zeitraum
2010-2050
Klimawirkungen
Klimawirkungen in Handlungsfeld
- Küsten-und Meeresschutz
"Storm: Extreme wind speeds increase for the area between 45°N and 55°N, except over and south of the Alps. This could generate more North Sea storms leading to increases in storm surges along the North Sea coast, especially in the Netherlands, Germany and Denmark." (Enei et al. 2011: 31)
"Storm surges: Figure 15 shows Europe‘s regions presently most endangered by storm surges. Here only the coastal areas are endangered. Storms are expected to increase with wind speed as depicted in Figure 12. The increasing wind speeds in the polar region will have comparable little effects, since the areas are sparsely populated. Bigger damages may be expected in the low lying coastal areas, especially of the Netherlands, Germany and Denmark. The latter country will experience the strongest increase in wind speeds and thus storms. In contrast, decreasing winds in South Europe will not generate large benefits, since the risk is low in most areas. The huge risk area in northern Sweden and Finland is a cartographic problem due to the large extent of the NUTS 3 regions. Indeed, only the coast of the NUTS regions is affected." (Enei et al. 2011: 32)
Methodischer Ansatz
Kurzbeschreibung des methodischen Ansatzes
Klimafolge/Indikationsfeld:
- Heavy precipitation, floods and mass movements: Rainfalls, Floods / flash floods, Landslides / avalanches
- Storms, storm surges and combined events: Extratropical cyclones, Storm surges, Hail and hail storms
- Extreme winter conditions including frost, ice and snow: Frost periods, Snow, Winter Storms
- Heat periods, droughts and wildfires: Heat periods, Droughts, Wild fires
- Not considered: Extensive fog
Methodischer Ansatz:
Assessment of climate change costs for the European transport system with a general accounting framework (3 categories of damage for each of the four modes of transport (road, rail, waterborne and air) ). Research concentrates on single weather events
Analysekonzeptansatz Disaster-Risk-Ansatz
Komponenten im Analysekonzept Klimatischer Einfluss, Sensitivität, Klimawirkung, Vulnerabilität
Methodik zur Operationalisierung Quantitative Wirkmodelle (z.B. Abflussmodelle), Proxy-Indikatoren
Participants
Herausgeber 7th framework program of the European Commission
Kontakt
Client: European Commission, Brussels & European Environment Agency, Copenhagen
Researcher: Riccardo Enei (ISIS), Claus Doll, Stefan Klug, Ina Partzsch (Fraunhofer), Norbert Sedlacek (Herry Consult GmbH), Nina Nesterova, Jan Kiel, Loreta Rudzikaite (NEA), Anestis Papanikolaou, Vangelis Mitsakis (CERTH)
Bibliographische Angaben
Enei, Riccardo; Doll, Claudia; Klug, Stefan; Partzsch, Ina; Sedlacek, Norbert; Nesterova, Nina; Kiel, Jan; Rudzikaite, Loreta; Papanikolaou, Anestis; Mitsakis, Vangelis 2011: Vulnerability of Transport system. Main report. Brussels/Copenhagen
