Background and Goals
The city of Elmshorn and its neighbors in the Geest and in the Marsch are already facing a critical challenge with regard to precipitation drainage. The effects of climate change will aggravate this situation. In particular, the increasing heavy rainfall events in combination with rising water levels in the tide-influenced Krückau are of central importance here.
To meet these challenges, the KAREL project was initiated in 2016 with the aim of developing a spatially comprehensive climate adaptation concept for the rainwater drainage of the city of Elmshorn and the surrounding communities.
Content time
toResearch area/region
- Germany
- Schleswig-Holstein
drainage area of the Krückau (mainly the city of Elmshorn and the surrounding communities Seester, Raa-Besenbek, Altenmoor and partly Bokholt-Hanredder and Kölln-Reisiek)
Steps in the process of adaptation to climate change
Step 1: Understand and describe climate change
As part of the predecessor project KLIMZUG-NORD, climate projections were produced using the dynamic regionalized climate models REMO and CLM. The scenarios A1B, A2 and B were examined. The climate change signals were evaluated at the middle as well as at the end of the 21st century. The reference period used was the C20 scenario, which covers the climate of the years 1971 to 2000.
In addition, further results of climate model simulations were used within the framework of KAREL and analysed in detail in order to deepen the already existing knowledge. These simulation results, which are also based on the REMO climate model, are based on the RCP scenarios RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5.
- River flooding
- Altered rainfall patterns
- Higher average temperatures
- Sea level rise und storm surges
- Extreme precipitation (incl. hail, snow)
- short term = next year’s / decades
- medium term = to 2050
- long term = to 2100 and beyond
Step 2a: Identify and assess risks - climate effects and impact
As a result of the predecessor project KLIMZUG-NORD, it has become clear that the municipalities in the KAREL study area will first of all get a problem with the drainage of rainwater from the point of view of climate change.
In the first step, the expected effects of climate change on the drainage situation in the KAREL study area were presented for the development of the climate adaptation concept. For this purpose, numerical models for the mapping of the actual state were created and subsequently the expected effects of climate change on the system were determined.
Step 3: Develop and compare measures
In the first step, generally conceivable solutions for each of the three subareas within the KAREL study area (upper reaches of the Krückau, in which a typical Geest area drains; Krückau section of Elmshorn, drained into the urban sewer network, under the Krückau, in which a typical marsh area drains) were worked out and discussed. In the targeted development of practicable adaptation measures, the necessary background knowledge and the required detailed local knowledge of the city of Elmshorn as well as the technical knowledge of the TUHH on fundamental adaptation measures to the consequences of climate change were incorporated. With a view to a later high probability of realization of the individual adaptation measures, this process of preparation and discussion took place from the very beginning in close cooperation with the local experts and stakeholders.
In the next step, a selection of basically suitable adaptation measures was implemented in the numerical models for each of the three subareas. On the basis of the resulting simulation results, the respective adaptation measures were analyzed and evaluated for their effectiveness.
Based on the findings, the individual measures for each of the three study areas were then merged into a separate action plan. These action plans were then further developed into an integrated and spatially comprehensive climate adaptation concept, taking into account the interactions with each other.
- 2036–2065
- 2071–2100 (far future)
Participants
Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety
Office for City Drainage Elmshorn
Institute of Hydraulic Engineering of the Technical University of Hamburg
Office for Urban Development Elmshorn
TUTECH INNOVATION GmbH