Ongoing development of regional climate models and probability forecasts for possible climate trends
Background and Goals
The COSMO-CLM (CLM community) and REMO regional climate models will be developed on an ongoing basis, so that they can be used to provide input data for detailed model simulations for climate effect assessment.
Objectives: To cover the full range of future climate trends, the ongoing development of grouped assessments is essential to derive probability forecasts for climate changes based on all available regional climate simulations for Germany, taking into account the new IPCC RCP scenarios (RCP = Representative Concentration Pathways).
Content time
Research area/region
Country
- Germany
- Austria
- Swiss
Steps in the process of adaptation to climate change
Step 1: Understand and describe climate change
Approach and results
COSMO-CLM (simulated emission scenarios to date: A1B and B1) and REMO (simulated emission scenarios to date: A1B, A2 and B1) regional climate models
Further Parameters
all climate parameters in the models
Further times
until 2100
Step 2a: Identify and assess risks - climate effects and impact
Approach and results
Climate change information will be provided across multiple fields of action for analysis of potential impacts.
Participants
Funding / Financing
German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) and Federal Ministry of Transport, Building and Urban Development (BMVBS)
Project management
BTU Cottbus, Chair Environmental Meteorology (for CLM);
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (for REMO);
Cooperation/Partners
Climate Limited-area Modelling-Community (CLM-Community) with more than 40 Institutions; Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD);
German Environment Agency;
Federal Institute of Hydrology
Contact
Brandenburgische Technische Universität (BTU) Cottbus - Senftenberg
Lehrstuhl Umweltmeteorologie
Burger Chaussee 2
D-03044 Cottbus
