Background and Goals
The content of the study is the description of regional climate changes in Saxony-Anhalt and identification of vulnerable regions.
The primary objective of this study is to analyse the susceptibility of different sectors in the state of Saxony-Anhalt, taking account of regional and local characteristics. This will be used to derive sector-specific options for action.
Content time
Research area/region
- Germany
- Saxony-Anhalt
- North-East German lowland
- South-Eeastern basin and hills
- Central low mountain ranges and Harz
Steps in the process of adaptation to climate change
Step 1: Understand and describe climate change
Climate and climate change in Saxony-Anhalt will be studied using the WETTREG and REMO regional models. Two different regional climate models have been used for the climate projection (WETTREG and REMO) with their results analysed for three emission scenarios. For the future projections, the analysis was carried out for short, medium and long-term changes, in line with the scenario periods. For some analyses, additional modelling results from the STAR statistical model were used.
- Altered rainfall patterns
- Higher average temperatures
all climate parameters of the regional climate models
Periods 1961-1990 as base period, and the future periods 2011-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100
Step 2a: Identify and assess risks - climate effects and impact
Description of the climate effects for the sectors biodiversity and conservation, agriculture, forestry, viticulture, phenology, soil conservation, water management and flood protectionis the main content of the study.
Step 2b: Identify and assess risks - Vulnerability, risks and chances
A vulnerability analysis will be carried out for the sectors specified above.
Step 3: Develop and compare measures
Options for actions as a response to particular regional, local or sectoral effects of changed climatic conditions will be highlighted. Specific climate change adaptation measures will be outlined in a separate strategy for the state of Saxony-Anhalt.
- 2011–2040 (near future)
- 2071–2100 (far future)
Participants
Ministry of Agriculture and Environment of of the Land Saxony-Anhalt
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
State Office for Environmental Protection Saxony-Anhalt
Landesamt für Umweltschutz Sachsen-Anhalt
Reideburger Straße 47
06116 Halle (Saale)